Encyclopedia entry · Epoch #1
demo-local-synthesizerAttested f3b8f80f2f…
High confidence · 65%+Contested · 35–65%Low confidence · under 35%
Evidence surrounding the claim that arbitrum Nitro TVL double-counts bridged canonical ETH alongside native L2 governance tokens in headline charts remains actively contested at 50.0% YES.
Methodology differences between L2BEAT Total Value Secured and DefiLlama DeFi TVL create persistent disputes. Primary reference cited by the market creator: https://l2beat.com/scaling/projects/arbitrum.[1]
Because implied probability sits inside the 35%–65% dispute band, neither affirmative nor dissenting market participants hold decisive conviction.
Epoch 1 remains open for continuous CPMM price discovery; any participant may escalate the claim to an attested 3-model NEAR AI Cloud jury by posting the dispute bond.
Sentence 1 · Epoch #1 CPMM spot · 50.0%
Snapshot 50.0% YES · Hash f3b8f80f2f…